Will Iran’s Supreme Leader lose power in 2026?

NameWill Iran’s Supreme Leader lose power in 2026?
DescriptionAccording to reports, Iran has entered its eighth night of nationwide protests against the regime, with armed citizens taking to the streets. Prediction markets currently price a 43% chance that the Supreme Leader loses power this year. The situation has garnered widespread attention amid escalating tensions.
CircuitaMACI-1p1v
Voting system

Anonymous anti-collusion voting system, in which one voice credit equals one vote.

Proof systemGroth16
Zkey
Status
Round start

Round end

Operator
pubkey
x17435182746053293007942830428304767502578289201180417325365913156635374538387
y11099816916496136858818144201886975724812612212734072177889711695320139386392
Creator
Contract addressdora1v3ekcpd582e9cee2ycwjxymnt8yvf58kxc6cs3qllxer5r6sdxmqc8zd77
Block height

13,406,422 (at contract creation)

Voting options (tallied)
  • Option 1

    Yes

    Vote %

    100.00%

  • Option 2

    No

    Vote %

    0.00%

ZK proofs

Transactions in the round

Timestamp (UTC)StatusTypeRoundCircuitSenderTxn hashLink

Successop:claimdora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1vB98BAD…A40019

Successop:verifydora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1vF85E74…2EBD30

Successop:stopProcessdora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1v376880…95FC2A

Successop:verifydora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1vE61968…24A5FC

Successop:startProcessdora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1v995704…E37099

Successmsg:votedora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1v17A83E…76AD7A

Successmsg:votedora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1vC7D92A…DB65FB

Successmsg:votedora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1v056AA1…C174E8

Successmsg:initKeydora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1v851778…E5D221

Successop:deploydora1v3e…zd77aMACI-1p1v96DAAA…D4355B

All transactions loaded.